2015. TITLE



Ahead On
The Flat

The Top Flat Horses To Follow for 2015

Foreword by Graham DENCH, Senior Racing Post Reporter

“Ahead On The Flat is an ideal way to get back up to speed after a winter’s jumping.”

Ahead On The Flat (148 pages) also features the following sections:

  • The Top 40 Prospects – PROFIT of £336.30 (£10 stake) in 2014.
  • Handicap Snips & Maidens In Waiting
  • Stable Gossip - the latest news from Sir Michael Stoute & Karl Burke’s teams for 2015, What’s The Craic In Ireland? & Index
  • Tom’s Top 10 - Racing UK colleague Tom O’Ryan picks his 10 to follow
  • Appendix - indepth @ Totesport/Racing Post 10 to Follow

Top 40 Prospects
(£10 level stake)

Stable Interviews

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing & Al Shaqab, Andrew BALDING, David BARRON, Henry Candy (New), Roger CHARLTON, Michael DODS (New), James FANSHAWE, William HAGGAS, David O’MEARA, Hugo PALMER (New).




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  • Ahead On The Flat Updates

  • Once again, I shall be producing 3 Ahead On The Flat Updates.

    Please note, the Updates are ONLY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL (Not Post).

  • I shall be producing 3 Ahead On The Flat Updates. The first Update will be a preview of the prestigious Royal Ascot meeting in June, the second will be a preview of the historic four day York Ebor meeting in August and the third will concentrate on the major Autumn races. There will be an in-depth analysis of races such as the Cambridgeshire and the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe.

    or £15 for ALL 3 via EMAIL.


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  • 8 WINNERS:

    ARAB SPRING (11/4),
    BORN IN BOMBAY (14/1),
    CANNOCK CHASE (7/4),
    ELITE ARMY (4/1)
    INTEGRAL (9/4),
    LEADING LIGHT (10/11),
    TELESCOPE (7/4),




    “Andrew Balding has had this race in mind for BORN IN BOMBAY since the winter. Third behind the 83 rated Passing Star on his debut at Lingfield in February, he routed nine rivals by upwards of four and a half lengths at Kempton a fortnight later. Beaten three parts of a length by Hors De Combat at Newmarket’s Guineas meeting off a mark of 84, he has only been raised three pounds and is two pounds better off with James Fanshawe’s winner. Withdrawn from the Silver Bowl at Haydock last month, due to soft ground, he is unexposed and Oisin Murphy’s three pounds could prove crucial. His lack of experience is a worry and he needs eight horses to come out to get a run but he has plenty of untapped potential.”

    WINS the Britannia Stakes
    @ 14/1


    “I was impressed with ELITE ARMY when winning a ten furlongs handicap at Sandown last month. Despite racing keenly early on, he quickened away from his six rivals to win by two and a half lengths and looked a useful colt. Third on his previous start behind Windshear in testing conditions, he has been raised eight pounds since but he looks capable of being competitive off 94. There are two concerns though. Firstly, he needs to settle better if he is going to get home over an extra couple of furlongs. Secondly, the son of Authorized has only raced on good to soft or slower ground (plus an all-weather win). Studying his pedigree, his dam was second in the German 1000 Guineas on good ground so there is hope he will handle a better surface. Entered in the John Smith’s Cup at York next month, he is the likely mount of Kieren Fallon.”

    WINS the King George V Handicap,
    @ 4/1


    “INTEGRAL has won 3 of her 6 career starts and she produced a personal best when a length second behind Sky Lantern in the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes at HQ last backend. Runner-up on her reappearance in the Dahlia Stakes at the same track last month, she was only denied by a head by the race fit Esoterique in the nine furlongs contest. Expect her to be sharper for the run, Sir Michael Stoute has won this race three times (Favourable Terms (2004), Peeress (2005) and Strawberrydairguiri (2010)) and her dam (Echelon) finished second and fifth in this race. Yet to race on slow ground, her dam won twice on good to soft. I think she has a major chance.”

    WINS the Duke of Cambridge Stakes
    @ 9/4


    “I suspect Baitha Alga will run because he has come out of his Woodcote Stakes victory in amazing shape and remarkably didn't lose any weight for his exertions! He is very tough and experienced and looks sure to run a big race.”

    WINS the Norfolk Stakes
    @ 8/1


    “Al Shaqab bought THE WOW SIGNAL, whose form looks rock solid, and John Quinn is excited with the way that he has progressed since his very impressive debut. With the second and third winning by wide margins since, this horse looks as though he is the real deal.”

    WINS the Coventry Stakes
    @ 5/1


    “Another unraced juvenile to watch out for is MURAAQABA. Trained at Middleham by Mark Johnston, she is a filly by Dubawi from a family her connections know well. She is out of Nufoos and is therefore a half-sister to the stable’s Middle Park Stakes winner Awzaan, plus the useful Hajras and unbeaten three year old filly Muteela. She has reportedly been working extremely well and is very much one to note on her racecourse bow (entered in the 7.05 at Newmarket on Friday).”

    WON on debut at Newmarket (27/6/14) @ 2/1, plus also won the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at HQ
    @ 7/1


    KINSHASA (7/2 & 9/4) MURAAQABA (2/1 & 7/1), NEW STORY (5/2 & 11/8)


  • 5 WINNERS:

    AUSTRALIA (8/13),

    BRAGGING (100/30),

    PALE MIMOSA (2/1), MUTUAL REGARD (Advised @ 25/1 – WINS @ 20/1),



    “Kevin Ryan won the race twelve months ago with Bogart and, once again, the Hambleton based handler has a strong team for this year’s renewal with three runners. BLAINE won the Gimcrack at the meeting two years ago and, following a blank 2013, the gelded son of Avonbridge has bounced back this season. A very good third behind Aetna and Baccarat at the Dante Festival in May, he won the Scottish Stewards’ Cup at Hamilton last month off a mark of 96. Restless in the stalls before the Stewards’ Cup at Goodwood last time, I would be inclined to put a line through that performance. Now rated 100, he was 107 at his best as a juvenile and his course form reads 113. The fact he handles any ground is a bonus and his record with Amy Ryan on his back is 1510.”

    @ 12/1


    “BRAGGING is a daughter of Exchange Rate who has won 2 of her 4 career starts. Unraced last year, Sir Michael Stoute’s filly won her maiden at Windsor before getting bogged down in soft ground at Nottingham on her handicap debut. However, she was a different proposition on a quicker surface at Newmarket last time. Dropping back to seven furlongs, she showed a sharp turn of foot and quickly settled the issue. A three and three parts of a length winner from The Gold Cheongsam, she won off a mark of 87 and, even though she has been raised ten pounds, it may not be enough to prevent her following up. Good or fast ground will hold the key to her chance.”

    @ 100/30


    “MUTUAL REGARD was bought out of Sir Mark Prescott’s yard for 60,000gns in October last year and has already improved eleven pounds since joining Johnny Murtagh. A six times winner, he won a handicap at the Curragh off 95 in June by a couple of lengths before producing a career best in the Listed Challenge Stakes at Leopardstown. Beaten less than four lengths by Pale Mimosa, he was conceding five pounds to Dermot Weld’s mare and the form has been boosted since with Eye of The Storm winning a Group 3 event since. I was told at Pontefract on Sunday by Dale Gibson (associate of owner Andrew Tinkler) that Murtagh is keen to take some weight off his back. Young riders in the frame include Louis Steward, Ross Coakley (22 winners in Ireland, including 8 this year + 1 from 1 in the UK) and Jack Garritty, who has ridden 23 winners this season. Murtagh was responsible for another ex-Prescott horse, Royal Diamond, and he finished second in the race in 2012. There have been three Irish trained winners this century (2001 Mediterranean, 2009 Sesenta, 2010 Dirar) and he represents fair each-way value.”

    WON the Betfred Ebor (Advised @ 25/1)


    “SHORT SQUEEZE did very well last year winning three times, including over C&D at this Festival. His first win came off 75 and he ended the campaign with an official rating of 106. Hugo Palmer’s charge has found it much tougher this season and was well held in the Royal Hunt Cup on his reappearance. Fifth in Listed company at Windsor behind Custom Cut (won twice since including a Group 3 at Leopardstown last week), he then travelled well over seven furlongs at York last time. His effort petered out late on and he will appreciate the return to a mile. Rated 102, he is a fresh horse and isn’t badly handicapped on the pick of his form. I wouldn’t be in a rush to discount him.”

    WON @ 8/1


    “The former is a daughter of Paco Boy who was bought for 52,000gns as a yearling. Beaten less than two lengths at Chester (7f : Good) in late June, she didn’t get the clearest of runs before staying on to finish fourth behind the 79 rated Disavow. Dascombe spoke to Racing UK the following day and informed us that they had been expecting her to win first time out. The fact she hasn’t run since isn’t ideal but she could be worth the wait.”

    WON next time at Nottingham (1/10/14) @ 7/1




  • WINNERS: MATTMU (2/1 & 6/1). PLUS:

    VELOX (Advised e/w @ 10/1 for the Cambridgeshire – 2nd),
    NICEOFYOUTOTELLME (Advised e/w @ 16/1 for the Cambridgeshire – 3rd),
    DIGEANTA (Advised e/w @ 33/1 for the Cesarewitch – 5th),


    “William Haggas has yet to win the November Handicap at Doncaster (9th November) but the Newmarket trainer may have a prime contender this year in the shape of CONDUCT. The six year old has had his share of problems during his career, hence he has only raced a handful of times. However, the Selkirk gelding has plenty of ability, as his rating of 96 suggests. Previously handled by Sir Michael Stoute, he didn’t race during 2011 and was only seen once last term. Switched to Somerville Lodge this year, he has run two creditable races over ten furlongs at Newmarket and Doncaster. Beaten a length by the Zetland Gold Cup winner Clon Brulee at Town Moor this month, Conduct gives the impression he is crying out for a step up to a mile and a half. He is bred to stay well, too, with his dam Coventina winning over two miles for John Dunlop in 2004. Suited by some cut in the ground, he will be an interesting proposition in the final big race of the turf campaign.”

    the November Handicap by 5 lengths at Doncaster @ 8/1


    “Tim Easterby has won Redcar’s Two Year Old Trophy (4th October) three times with Pipalong (1998), Body And Soul (2012) and Ventura Mist (2013) all scoring. The Great Habton based trainer has a live contender for the 2014 renewal, too. MATTMU has won two of his six starts and has developed into a useful juvenile. Owned and bred by Jim Bowers, the son of Indesatchel is out of six times winning racemare Katie Boo and he is officially rated 95. Successful at Haydock and Chester, he has improved since stepped up to six furlongs and was a ready winner at the Roodeye in August. A good third in the valuable Doncaster Sales event this month behind Bond’s Girl, I spoke to Tim during the summer and he said he was purposely saving Mattmu for two main targets during the Autumn. Doncaster was the first and Redcar is the second. He went close at Town Moor and it would be no surprise if he went two better at the Cleveland venue at the start of next month. Even though he has won on good to firm, he is arguably a better horse on good or slight slower underfoot conditions. The unbeaten Limato will be hard to beat but Mattmu is likely to ensure Henry Candy’s colt doesn’t have things all his own way.”

    2nd @ Redcar (7/1) and then won his next two races at York (2/1) & Maisons-Laffitte (6/1)




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