Foreword by Nick LUCK
“Mark’s greatest asset is his ability to identify young jumping fruit that is most likely to grow into something of substance”
Harry FRY, Warren GREATREX (New), Nicky HENDERSON, Philip HOBBS, Alan KING, Charlie LONGSDON (New), Donald McCAIN, Paul NICHOLLS, David PIPE, John QUINN (New), Lucinda RUSSELL.
Price:
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including postageMark Howard Publications Ltd. 69 Fairgarth Drive, Kirkby Lonsdale, Carnforth, Lancashire. LA6 2FB.
WH SMITH Ltd (ISBN: 978-0-9564615-6-8) or online from whmsith.co.uk
TINDALLS (Newmarket)
Once again, I shall be producing 5 One Jump Ahead Updates.
Please note, the Updates are ONLY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL (Not Post).
I shall be producing 5 One Jump Ahead Updates throughout the 2014/15 National Hunt season. Each Update comprises information about the horses in One Jump Ahead, an update from top Bloodstock Agent Anthony Bromley, Bumper News, Ante-Post Advice (recommendations for the major races), Big-Race Previews and News from Ireland from one of the most informed Irish experts Declan Phelan.
£6.00/update (£8 for Cheltenham)
or £32 for ALL 5 via EMAIL.
A big thanks for the fantastic information you have provided in your publications this season. I took your advice re Faugheen and Vautour in the February Update and backed them individually and in a double ante-post. I was born and bred in Cheltenham and have had close to the best 2 days of my life. I also have to say the quality of Declan Phelan’s advice in the Updates is brilliant.
QUICK JACK (15/8),
THE LIQUIDATOR (6/4),
KID CASSIDY (4/1),
DELL’ARCA (Advised @ 14/1),
RED SHERLOCK (7/2)
DELL’ARCA (Advised @ 14/1),
COLOUR SQUADRON (2nd in the Paddy Power Gold Cup – Advised @ 14/1)
BROMLEY’S BEST BUYS – Part II: WINNERS: ACTIVIAL (9/4), BROTHER DU BERLAIS (5/1), CALIPTO (5/2 & 4/6), VICENZO MIO (Evens)
MALCOLM JEFFERSON: WINNERS: CAPE YORK (3/1), ENCHANTED GARDEN (8/1), FIRTH OF THE CLYDE (9/5 & 11/4), HI GEORGE (12/1), KING OF THE WOLDS (5/4), PAIR OF JACKS (3/1), RETRIEVE THE STICK (9/4 & 11/8), SECRETE STREAM (9/4), SUN CLOUD (5/1 & 4/1), URBAN HYMN (8/11 & 9/4)
“DELL’ARCA is one of the most intriguing runners of the whole three day fixture. Only a four year old, he was purchased for €280,000 at the Arqana Sale in July, having won over hurdles at Compiegne. Runner-up next time at Auteuil, it is his first run over hurdles, which warrants plenty of scrutiny. Beaten a nose by Un Temps Pour Tout (receiving eight pounds) at Bordeaux in May, the winner has won twice more since and finished seven lengths third in the Grade 1 Prix Renaud Du Vivier at Auteuil this month (behind the 145 rated Ptit Zig). If that form is taken literally, he could be thrown in off 128 for his British debut. In some respects, he reminds me a lot of Rodock, who won the race for Martin Pipe in 1999 on only his third start over hurdles off a mark of 131. Could history repeat itself fourteen years later?”
“The one I like is QUICK JACK, who will be partnered by Ruby Walsh for the first time. Trained by Tony Martin, the Footstepsinthesand gelding has only run four times over obstacles, winning at Listowel in September. A dual winner on the Flat in 2013, he was a good second in the Movember Handicap at Leopardstown this month. Tony Martin has his team in good fettle and he looks sure to go well.”
“I was working at the Scottish track for Racing UK and Brian Hughes was very complimentary about the four year old afterwards. He feels he is more than capable of winning a bumper and one for the future.”
“I was speaking to Graham Wylie at Wetherby on Charlie Hall day and he said he had purchased IVAN GROZNY. A three year old by Turtle Bowl, he was successful in two of eight races on the Flat for Daniel Rabhi. Without a win last term, he won at Lyon in early March (1m 1f : Standard) before following up by three lengths from Eurato (won twice since) at St-Cloud (1m 2f : Heavy) eleven days later. A length and three quarters third behind Triple Treat (won Group 2 since) in a Group 3 at Longchamp, he rounded off his Flat campaign by finishing fifth in the Group 2 Prix Greffulhe at St-Cloud. By all accounts, he has done everything asked since arriving at Closutton.”
“Ran a lovely debut race at Auteuil for Guy Cherel to finish a good second in the prestigious Prix Finot Hurdle in mid September. He is due to start at Newbury’s Hennessy meeting (29th November) and is potentially smart.”
“I was speaking to Graham Wylie at Wetherby on Charlie Hall day and he said he had purchased IVAN GROZNY. A three year old by Turtle Bowl, he was successful in two of eight races on the Flat for Daniel Rabhi. Without a win last term, he won at Lyon in early March (1m 1f : Standard) before following up by three lengths from Eurato (won twice since) at St-Cloud (1m 2f : Heavy) eleven days later. A length and three quarters third behind Triple Treat (won Group 2 since) in a Group 3 at Longchamp, he rounded off his Flat campaign by finishing fifth in the Group 2 Prix Greffulhe at St-Cloud. By all accounts, he has done everything asked since arriving at Closutton.”
“Fifth in the novice handicap at the Festival, he is rated 139 (compared to 143 over hurdles) and is well treated. I also think he will jump much better on a sounder surface – all four of his chases last season were on soft or heavy. He goes well fresh (first time out 12) and is a leading contender, if he gets his jumping together. Tom O’Brien rides him for the first time.”
“He could develop into a Fred Winter Hurdle type.”
“He handles cut in the ground and is a nice prospect for novice hurdles. He looks very well at moment.”
“Half-brother to Attaglance, he has also had a few problems with his wind so we have operated on his soft palate. He will be going over fences and I think he will make a nice chaser. His schooling has gone very well and he isn’t short of speed. We will keep him him to two and a half miles for the time being but I don’t see why he won’t stay a bit further.”
ARDKILLY WITNESS (3/1 & 8/11), COOZAN GEORGE (11/4), FORCED FAMILY FUN (11/10 & 5/1), GOODWOOD MIRAGE (6/4), IVAN GROZNY (8/13 & 5/1), KELVINGROVE (5/1), PEARL CASTLE (17/2 & 4/6), RUTHERGLEN (8/11, 5/4, 4/5), SURE REEF (5/2 & 9/4), TAGLIETELLE (3/1), TIDAL DANCE (5/6)
MY TENT OR YOURS (WON @ 11/8)
HAWKES POINT (2nd – beaten a head - @ 14/1)
SILVINIACO CONTI (7/2) in the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day.
RICH RICCI: WINNERS: ARVIKA LIGEONNIERE (2/7 & 1/2), BALLYCASEY (2/1), CLONDAW COURT (2/9), VAUTOUR (1/4, 7/4 & 7/2), ZAIDPOUR (5/4)
WARREN GREATREX: WINNERS: CHALK IT DOWN (11/10), COLE HARDEN (4/1), DOLATULO (9/1), ELLNANDO QUEEN (8/1, 9/2, 4/7), MADNESS LIGHT (4/1)
“Third on her reappearance over hurdles at Ludlow, she needed the run that day and has had a wind operation since. She jumps well and is a lovely mare who I like a lot.”
“The handicapper has raised him nine pounds to a mark of 124. We could run him in another novice hurdle but I think he could be a tasty proposition in a handicap off such a rating.”
“He was a non runner on Saturday, apparently due to a stone bruise, the simple fact that Gigginstown had the favourite in the same race might have been the real reason for non participation. A son of Presenting, he was one of the highly successful batch of four year old pointers that Michael O’Leary sent pointing last spring. He won a good quality point at Dromahane: the third and fourth from that race, Powerstown Dream and Fort Worth have since won bumpers in the UK. Now in training with Gordon Elliott, No More Heroes debuted over hurdles at Down Royal in early November: racing over an inadequate two miles, he was noted staying on takingly towards the finish in placing fourth. I rate this horse a moral to win a hurdle race at 2m 4f or above and the winter soft ground will aid his quest to win. He has multiple entries over the Christmas period and I think he will offer each way value in whatever engagement he fulfils.”
“Given her preference for decent ground, don’t be surprised if she makes a trip to Doncaster en route.”
“Rather like Pont Alexandre twelve months ago, the former Guillaume Macire trained gelding made a sparkling start to his new career with Willie Mullins at Navan this month. It may not have been a strong maiden hurdle, even though there were thirty runners, but the manner in which the Robin Des Champs gelding moved through the race and readily saw off his rivals was hugely impressive. He looks to have everything needed to be a top-class jump horse – size, scope, pace and quality and in the right hands. He has been given two entries over the Festive period at Leopardstown (Grade 1 Champion Novice Hurdle (1.50 on Friday) and Limerick (1.35 on Thursday). Either way, I can’t wait to see him in action again. He is a tremendous prospect.”
BEFOREALL (4/1),
CARRY ON SYDNEY (8/15),
FINANCIAL CLIMATE (5/2),
STIFF UPPER LIP (15/8 & 9/2)
BETFAIR HURDLE: DELL’ARCA (Advised e/w @ 14/1 – 2nd at 15/2)
“William Haggas has yet to win the November Handicap at Doncaster (9th November) but the Newmarket trainer may have a prime contender this year in the shape of CONDUCT. The six year old has had his share of problems during his career, hence he has only raced a handful of times. However, the Selkirk gelding has plenty of ability, as his rating of 96 suggests. Previously handled by Sir Michael Stoute, he didn’t race during 2011 and was only seen once last term. Switched to Somerville Lodge this year, he has run two creditable races over ten furlongs at Newmarket and Doncaster. Beaten a length by the Zetland Gold Cup winner Clon Brulee at Town Moor this month, Conduct gives the impression he is crying out for a step up to a mile and a half. He is bred to stay well, too, with his dam Coventina winning over two miles for John Dunlop in 2004. Suited by some cut in the ground, he will be an interesting proposition in the final big race of the turf campaign.”
“He is a very good novice who, provided his jumping improves, will be hard to beat at the Festival in March.”
“In many respects, the ex-pointer has something to prove now but I wouldn’t write him off. Ascot showed what he is capable of and Haydock was too bad to be true. Obviously, he needs to produce a good performance next time and get his chasing career back on track. However, he still could emerge as a leading contender for something like the National Hunt Chase at the Festival. Currently available at 33/1 with William Hill (as short as 12/1 with Boylesports & Paddy Power), that could look a huge price if he wins on his next start.”
“Unbeaten in two starts since joining Willie Mullins during the summer from France, he is one of the most exciting novice hurdlers on either side of the Irish Sea and looks set to play a major part at the upcoming Cheltenham Festival. …… Already favourite for the Festival opener, he will take some stopping. He is a class act.”
“He has been winning over shorter trips but I think a step up to three miles will bring about further improvement.”
“I think he will improve when encountering better ground.”
VAUTOUR (7/2),
FAUGHEEN (6/4),
TIGER ROLL (Advised @ 12/1),
The IRISH ANGLE by DECLAN PHELAN: 3 WINNERS from only 6 selections: PRESENT VIEW (8/1), SIRE DE GRUGY (11/4), TAMMYS HILL (15/2). Plus: BALLYALTON (2nd @ 20/1)
TALKING TRAINERS: PAUL NICHOLLS: WINNERS: BROTHER DU BERLAIS (5/1), LAC FONTANA (11/1)
TALKING TRAINERS: DAVID PIPE: WINNERS: BALLYNAGOUR (12/1), DYNASTE (3/1), GOULANES (13/2)
“I will be concise: I think that Sire De Grugy is the best bet of the four day fixture. On my figures, I rate this improving chestnut at least 7 to 8 lengths superior to these rivals and he should be an odds on shot: the fact that you can back him at odds close to 5/2 should be accepted with thanks.”
“My preference is for Tammys Hill: he failed to sparkle on his sole UK trip last term at Stratford: but that run came at the end of a long winter when he was over the top. A wind operation in the close season has definitely improved him: he won a point hard held in December: then lost out narrowly to On The Fringe at Down Royal (jockey carried overweight). He avenged that defeat with Robbie McNamara nipping up the rail late and fast at Leopardstown. I thought he ran another cracker when third over an inadequate 2m 5f at Fairyhouse last time: he was beaten less than four lengths conceding eight pounds to Warne (a specialist hunter at that trip) and Seabass (receiving 3lbs): he finished best of all. I like that he is thundering home and, with as good as a professional on his back, he may provide the north of Ireland with a second winner in this race in the space of three years. With three point to point wins on good/fast ground over the past eighteen months, he operates on any ground.”
“He won over hurdles at Auteuil for Robert Collet and was being prepared for the EBF Final at Sandown yesterday. However, he incurred a nasty cut following his UK debut at Wincanton last month and wasn’t ready in time. He is considered favourably treated though off 132.”
“Eighth in last season’s Triumph Hurdle, we purposely put him away after that. Having won well at Cheltenham in October, he ran a dire race next time at the Paddy Power meeting. We found that he was suffering with ulcers and therefore after some treatment he returned at Cheltenham in January and bolted up. The handicapper raised him twelve pounds which ensures he will get a run in the County Hurdle. He worked well at Wincanton last week and, provided the ground is on the slow side, I think he will have a massive chance.”
“Another ex-French trained gelding who looks a budding star for Willie Mullins. He, too, is unbeaten since joining his current yard having run twice over timber for Guillaume Macaire. Workmanlike when beating Western Boy in a Grade 3 novice at Punchestown, he may not have been suited by the inner track there and looked much more at home at Leopardstown last time. Given a fine ride by Ruby Walsh, he proved too good for dual Grade 1 winner The Tullow Tank in the Deloitte NH (Champagne Fever won the same race en route to Supreme NH glory). A three lengths winner, the five year old will almost certainly be ridden handily as he attempts to draw the sting out of the smooth travelling Irving. He has looked a class act this season.”
“TIGER ROLL is a half-brother to the Lonsdale Cup winner and Irish St Leger runner-up Ahzeemah. Ex-Godolphin, the son of Authorized didn’t race on the Flat and was bought by Nigel Hawke for 10,000gns in August last year. Having won on his debut at Market Rasen in November, he was sold the following month to Gigginstown House Stud for 80,000gns. Transferred to Gordon Elliott, he stayed on well to finish second behind Guitar Pete in a Grade 1 at Leopardstown. Beaten two and a quarter lengths, he would have been even closer had he not made a mistake at the last. Both his races have been on soft or heavy ground. Gordon Elliott believes he has improved a lot since his last run and is a major contender.”
“Ex-Irish pointer PRESENT VIEW is now beginning to fulfil the potential he displayed within the flags in Ireland: He struggles to see out the three mile trip, and a fast run 2m 4f-2m 6f race are perfect for this son of Presenting: he bolted up last time at Kempton: raised 11lbs to 137, he is capable of being competitive off that elevated rating as this race will be run to suit him: a drying sod will not inconvenience as he has plenty of speed. ATTAGLANCE enjoyed a terrific 2012, landing a spring Festival double over hurdles at Cheltenham and Aintree: unsuccessful from eight previous outings over fences, he may not be comfortable jumping fences: taken in isolation a repeat of his promising fourth in the Paddy Power in the autumn off the same rating as now, would give him an excellent each way chance.”
“Ballyalton another ex-pointer has enjoyed a decent campaign: a second season novice, a course winner and dangerous on a sound surface, a definite place candidate at least.”
“He holds a couple of entries but will run in the Byrne Group Plate rather than my father’s race (Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys HH). Eighth in the former last season, it is well documented that he has bleeding problems and he is best fresh. On his day, he is a very good horse but he isn’t the easiest to predict. Pulled up in the Paddy Power Gold Cup in November, he blew up that day because he hadn’t been back in yard that long. Hopefully, he will be at his best this week and run well.”
“He is in good nick and the Ryanair Chase on Thursday is his most likely target. Having run well in the Betfair Chase at Haydock, we thought he would go close in the King George but he ran below par. Found to have pulled some muscles afterwards, he was sore for a long time afterwards. We have purposely given him plenty of time to recover and I have been pleased with him during the last couple of weeks.”
: “Entered in the three mile handicap chase on Tuesday and the Kim Muir, it is possible he will skip Cheltenham and wait for the Midlands National on Saturday (15th). He likes cut in the ground and, if back to his best, he would have a chance in whichever race he contests next.”
THE NEW ONE (4/9),
BEAT THAT (6/1).
TIGER ROLL (Advised @ 12/1),
CHELTENIAN (E/W 4th @ 8/1), LADY BUTTONS (E/W 2nd @ 8/1)
CONNECTIONS’ VIEW: WINNERS: PINEAU DE RE (25/1), RHYTHM STAR (7/1).
“PARSNIP PETE was second behind Filbert at Newbury’s Hennessy meeting and is only two pounds higher. A disappointing sixth at Ludlow last time, he is better than he showed that day. The key to him is flat left handed tracks (731112) and he gets on well with Paddy Brennan (4 from 15). A career best by some way is needed but he is a good traveller and these are his optimum conditions.”
“MA FILLEULE has won half of her eight races over fences and is rated 150. Nicky Henderson’s mare produced a career best effort when narrowly denied by Holywell at the Cheltenham Festival last month. Beaten less than two lengths by Jonjo O’Neill’s gelding, she did well to finish so close after her rider lost his iron after the third last. The drop in trip shouldn’t be a problem for the six year old and her stable won the race last year with another French recruit Triolo D’Alene.”
“BEAT THAT hasn’t been seen since finishing second behind Killala Quay (fourth in the Neptune NH since) in a Grade 2 novice hurdle at Sandown in December. Nicky Henderson’s gelding was unlucky not to win, having made a bad mistake at the last. Prior to that, he beat subsequent three times winner and Albert Bartlett NH fourth Champagne West by ten lengths. Rated 142, his form is very solid and he is bred to appreciate the step up to three miles (from the family of Foxhunters’ winner Drombeag). The six year old is fresh but may not want it too soft. His trainer won this in 1988 with Rustle.”
“Pineau De Re is Dr Newland’s first ever Grand National runner. The horse comes into the race on the back of a near miss in the Pertemps Network at the Cheltenham Festival. Only beaten a neck, he can be considered an unlucky loser as he met the last hurdle wrong. A 23 length winner of the Ulster Grand National over three and a half miles last year, the eleven year old has the ability to run a big race. Filmed by the Racing UK cameras, Pineau De Re also went to Lambourn last week to school over National style fences. Leighton Aspell put him through his paces and will ride him on Saturday. Pineau De Re has previous Aintree experience having fallen at the eight in Becher Chase. However, he was a little unlucky, jumping the fence fine but slipping on landing. He will be given a waiting ride, creeping into contention late on. Arguably one of the form horses going into the race, he has solid claims granted a clear round.”
“Despite winning twice and earning an official rating of 144 over fences, it has been a frustrating season for EDUARD. Nicky Richards’ gelding was in the process of giving Pendra a race when sprawling on landing at the second last on his chasing bow at Carlisle in October. Returning to the Cumbrian venue in early December, he was only workmanlike in victory, having mastered the tough Mwaleshi after the last. The Morozov gelding didn’t return until early March and, having overcome a mistake at the fourth last, he went on to record a comfortable eleven lengths victory over Imjoeking (beaten again since) conceding seven pounds. The fact he didn’t race between December and March suggests Nicky Richards was keen for him to avoid heavy ground and leave him fresh for a spring campaign. With that in mind, the Future Champions Novices’ Chase at Ayr (2.05) on Scottish National day (12th April) looks tailormade for him. Eduard has only raced once over two and a half miles when a well held fourth at Aintree’s Grand National meeting last year but he had endured a hard race at Kelso on his previous start, which may have left its mark. The Ayr event has been kind to Greystoke over the years, with the late Gordon Richards winning it five times (Cromwell Road (1976), Little Bay (1981), Noddy’s Ryde (1984), Jim Thorpe (1988) and Addington Boy (1996)), and Nicky won the prize in 2006 with Monet’s Garden. It is time for Eduard to deliver.”
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